Boise State
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
185  Barak Watson SR 32:11
335  Allan Schroeder JR 32:33
423  Drew O'donoghueMcDonald JR 32:44
428  Jeff Howard JR 32:45
451  David Elliott SO 32:48
487  Aaron Back SO 32:53
712  Dakota Parker SO 33:18
1,108  Zach Wiles JR 33:56
National Rank #58 of 311
West Region Rank #10 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.6%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 2.5%
Top 10 in Regional 82.1%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Barak Watson Allan Schroeder Drew O'donoghueMcDonald Jeff Howard David Elliott Aaron Back Dakota Parker Zach Wiles
Charles Bowles Willamette Invitational 09/29 1257 34:05
Roy Griak Invitational 09/29 930 32:32 32:17 33:06 33:02 32:50 33:04 33:34
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 764 31:57 32:30 32:07 32:31 32:48 32:55 33:13
Mountain West Championships 10/26 943 32:06 32:48 33:17 32:48 33:03 33:26 34:16
West Region Championships 11/09 854 32:19 32:38 32:28 32:47 32:43 32:32 32:55





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.6% 28.1 640 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 9.1 266 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.1 10.7 19.6 24.4 21.0 10.0 4.9 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Barak Watson 9.5% 123.3
Allan Schroeder 0.8% 150.5
Drew O'donoghueMcDonald 0.6% 187.0
Jeff Howard 0.6% 203.5
David Elliott 0.6% 192.0
Aaron Back 0.6% 201.0
Dakota Parker 0.7% 232.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Barak Watson 28.6 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.5 2.5 3.1 2.6 3.0 2.8 3.0 2.8 2.9 2.4 3.0 2.8
Allan Schroeder 50.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0
Drew O'donoghueMcDonald 61.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Jeff Howard 61.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
David Elliott 64.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
Aaron Back 69.4 0.0 0.0
Dakota Parker 93.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 2
3 0.1% 75.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3
4 0.5% 56.5% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 4
5 1.9% 12.8% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6 0.2 5
6 4.1% 1.0% 0.0 0.0 4.1 0.0 6
7 10.7% 10.7 7
8 19.6% 19.6 8
9 24.4% 24.4 9
10 21.0% 21.0 10
11 10.0% 10.0 11
12 4.9% 4.9 12
13 1.8% 1.8 13
14 0.9% 0.9 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 0.0% 0.0 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.4 0.0 0.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
William and Mary 0.9% 1.0 0.0
McNeese State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Lehigh 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0